Author Topic: Favorable weather forecast for the March/April/ May timeframe from NOAA  (Read 4842 times)


upright jeff

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Re: Favorable weather forecast for the March/April/ May timeframe from NOAA
« Reply #1 on: January 22, 2013, 05:24:42 PM »
Is that a promise?
I spent half of my life riding bikes. The other half I wasted.

2011 Trek Madone Project One
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2009 Trek Madone Project One
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mheyes

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Re: Favorable weather forecast for the March/April/ May timeframe from NOAA
« Reply #2 on: January 24, 2013, 02:53:57 PM »
I hear that it's supposed to get to almost 20F today. I'm going after lunch.

upright jeff

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Re: Favorable weather forecast for the March/April/ May timeframe from NOAA
« Reply #3 on: January 29, 2013, 06:51:20 PM »
20 is about 20 short of my minimum temp.
I spent half of my life riding bikes. The other half I wasted.

2011 Trek Madone Project One
2011 Cannondale CAAD10-1
2010 Cannondale Quick 1
2009 Trek Madone Project One
2008 Specialized Sirrus Pro

Slow Joe

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Wow.  My weather posting above may be the least accurate thing i have ever posted.  My apologies.

Bill

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Whatever you, please do not post another one!  :)

upright jeff

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Not your fault Joe but +1 to Bill's request.  Now they say warmer than normal beginning mid-April.  Jet stream is changing...Pacific warmth coming.  I AM READY!
I spent half of my life riding bikes. The other half I wasted.

2011 Trek Madone Project One
2011 Cannondale CAAD10-1
2010 Cannondale Quick 1
2009 Trek Madone Project One
2008 Specialized Sirrus Pro

Slow Joe

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Okay....I'll try again.  Here is the official summer forecast ...above normal from June to August....we shall see... :)

Headlines:
Above normal summer in eastern half
Drought-driven heat in Plains / western Midwest
Cool Northwest

The Official MDA Summer 2013 Outlook shows a dominating warm signal across much of the eastern half to eastern two-thirds of the US.  Essentially all areas of the nation east of the Rockies are shown to see fairly consistently above normal temperatures throughout the season with the areas of the Central and Southern Plains showing the largest departures.  Overall, this forecast for the June-August period of 955 population weighted CDDs would rank in the top 5 since official historical records began in 1950. The primary contributors to MDA’s consensus forecast reasoning are as follows:  expectations of a return to a qualified La Nina event along with the persisting –PDO in the North Pacific, soil moisture deficit (i.e. drought) feedback across much of the central US, warm contributions from a +AMO in the Atlantic, and numerous long range physical model guidance.  All of these factors at varying significance are suggesting a generally warm to even hot pattern for much of the eastern US throughout the season. Continued attention to the potential Spring rains and its impact on the drought as well as the evolution of the Pacific will be required as we progress through the Spring.  With the expectation that the Nina event will continue to evolve thanks to signals from the North Pacific, subsurface features of the central Pacific, and features from the Indian Ocean we foresee a general pattern that continues to keep precip events in the Plains at a relative minimum and allows the drought signal to continue into the summer.  - Travis Hartman

upright jeff

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This Travis Hartman sounds like a politician.

"Just the facts Maam."
I spent half of my life riding bikes. The other half I wasted.

2011 Trek Madone Project One
2011 Cannondale CAAD10-1
2010 Cannondale Quick 1
2009 Trek Madone Project One
2008 Specialized Sirrus Pro